կանխատեսում

կանխատեսում

Best guesses about the future. Despite complex economic theories and cutting-edge econometrics, the forecasts economists make are often badly wrong. Indeed, following economic forecasts has been likened to driving a car blindfolded, following directions given by a person who is looking out of the back window. Some of the inaccuracies in forecasts reflect badly designed models; often, the problem is that the future actually is unpredictable. Maybe it would be better to take the advice of Sam Goldwyn, a movie mogul, "Never prophesy, especially about the future. "

0 0

Forbedre det

Legg til et bilde

Ordklasse: noun
Synonym(er):
Blossary:
Fagområde/Domene Economy
Category: Economics
Company: The Economist
Produkt:
Akronym-Forkortelse:

Legg til Min ordliste

Andre språk:

Relaterte termer

ինքնաիրականացվող կանխատեսում

Sociology; General sociology

Ռոբերտ Մերտոնի կողմից բացահայտված հայեցակարգ, ըստ որի վարքագիծը կարող է արդյունք լինել պարզապես մյուսների կողմից կանխագուշակման արդյունքում: ...

եղանակի թվային կանխատեսում

Energy; Wind energy

means weather forecasting by computational simulation of the atmosphere.

վարկանիշ

Economy; Economics

A guide to the riskiness of a financial instrument provided by a ratings agency, such as Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and Fitch IBCA. These measures of credit quality are mostly ...

նորմավորում

Economy; Economics

Although economists say that rationing is what the price mechanism does, what most people think of as rationing is an alternative to letting prices determine how scarce economic ...

իրական փոխարժեք

Economy; Economics

An exchange rate that has been adjusted to take account of any difference in the rate of inflation in the two countries whose currency is being exchanged.

իրական տոկոսադրույք

Economy; Economics

The interest rate less the rate of inflation.

անկում

Economy; Economics

Broadly speaking, a period of slow or negative economic growth, usually accompanied by rising unemployment. Economists have two more precise definitions of a recession. The first, ...